FINRA has released new data for margin debt, now available through January. The latest debt level is down 3% month-over-month. At the suggestion of Mark Schofield, Managing Director at Strategic Value Capital Management, LLC, we've created the same chart with margin debt inverted so that we see the relationship between the two as a divergence. This is a chart of margin debt compared to S&P 500 levels. As you can see, investors tend to have the most margin debt during the peak of the cycle, and the least margin debt at the bottom of the cycle: Chart Source: Advisor Perspectives As a % of GDP margin debt is at an all-time high. This would appear worrisome were it not for the next chart. Margin debt as a % of total market cap has basically been flat ever since the financial crisis. So, despite all time highs in the S&P 500 margin debt as a % of total market cap hasn’t really expanded at a rate that is all that alarming. Chart #4: NYSE Margin Debt High levels of margin debt lead to increased volatility as more people are forced to sell due to margin calls. In January, margin debt hit another record high. This chart shows the longer view: During margin debt’s peak-to-peak surge of 60%, nominal GDP (not adjusted for inflation) rose 32% and the Consumer Price Index 20%. Historically, this disconnect has had a tendency to correct via messy panicked crashes and deleveraging. The last three spikes in margin debt are indicated in the chart above.
Debt to GDP Ratio Historical Chart. Interactive chart of historical data comparing the level of gross domestic product (GDP) with Federal Debt. The current level of the debt to GDP ratio as of September 2019 is 105.46. In order to allow comparisons over time, a nation's debt is often expressed as a ratio to its gross domestic product (GDP). The total public debt (used in the chart above) is a form of government federal debt. It includes "debt held by the public" as well as "intragovernmental holdings".
In order to allow comparisons over time, a nation's debt is often expressed as a ratio to its gross domestic product (GDP). The total public debt (used in the chart above) is a form of government federal debt. It includes "debt held by the public" as well as "intragovernmental holdings". Households Debt in the United States increased to 75.20 percent of GDP in the third quarter of 2019 from 75.10 percent of GDP in the second quarter of 2019. United States Households Debt To GDP - values, historical data and charts - was last updated on March of 2020. This is a chart of margin debt compared to S&P 500 levels. As you can see, investors tend to have the most margin debt during the peak of the cycle, and the least margin debt at the bottom of the cycle: Chart Source: Advisor Perspectives As a % of GDP margin debt is at an all-time high. This would appear worrisome were it not for the next chart. Margin debt as a % of total market cap has basically been flat ever since the financial crisis. So, despite all time highs in the S&P 500 margin debt as a % of total market cap hasn’t really expanded at a rate that is all that alarming.
Debt to Gross Domestic Product Ratios. Sources > U.S. Office of Management and Budget. These series are constructed using debt, deficit, and nominal GDP series. Add to Data List Add to Graph. Sort by Popularity Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product .
29 Dec 2017 By the end of 1999, less than ten weeks before the tech mania peak, total margin debt equaled 2.5% of gross domestic product (GDP) by far the with tag: Debt. FRED: Download, graph, and track economic data. Federal Debt: Total Public Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product. Percent of GDP